Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001948 0.002041 0.002138 0.002247 0.002368 0.002497 0.002648
2025-05-25 0.001787 0.001915 0.002055 0.002221 0.002414 0.002635 0.002911
2025-06-01 0.001664 0.001812 0.001979 0.002184 0.002435 0.002736 0.003135
2025-06-08 0.001608 0.001776 0.001972 0.002221 0.002537 0.002938 0.003508
2025-06-15 0.001555 0.001737 0.001954 0.002239 0.002614 0.003112 0.003868
2025-06-22 0.001491 0.001680 0.001908 0.002214 0.002629 0.003202 0.004119
2025-06-29 0.001431 0.001623 0.001858 0.002178 0.002623 0.003258 0.004323
2025-07-06 0.001386 0.001581 0.001824 0.002161 0.002640 0.003346 0.004593
2025-07-13 0.001318 0.001507 0.001745 0.002076 0.002553 0.003265 0.004556
2025-07-20 0.001286 0.001478 0.001722 0.002067 0.002574 0.003354 0.004839
2025-07-27 0.001266 0.001464 0.001717 0.002083 0.002632 0.003507 0.005280
2025-08-03 0.001237 0.001437 0.001695 0.002071 0.002645 0.003587 0.005593
2025-08-10 0.001222 0.001428 0.001696 0.002095 0.002720 0.003786 0.006244
2025-08-17 0.001197 0.001403 0.001676 0.002086 0.002741 0.003894 0.006723
2025-08-24 0.001167 0.001372 0.001645 0.002059 0.002730 0.003939 0.007059
2025-08-31 0.001159 0.001370 0.001655 0.002094 0.002825 0.004203 0.008163
2025-09-07 0.001145 0.001361 0.001653 0.002111 0.002890 0.004421 0.009292
2025-09-14 0.001121 0.001335 0.001628 0.002089 0.002885 0.004486 0.009917
2025-09-21 0.001095 0.001307 0.001597 0.002057 0.002859 0.004499 0.010349
2025-09-28 0.001076 0.001287 0.001577 0.002042 0.002862 0.004581 0.011174
2025-10-05 0.001039 0.001242 0.001521 0.001966 0.002747 0.004372 0.010444
2025-10-12 0.001024 0.001227 0.001507 0.001958 0.002759 0.004469 0.011379
2025-10-19 0.001016 0.001221 0.001507 0.001972 0.002815 0.004681 0.013241